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    9/13/2007

    计算股票的贝塔值β

    收益率:一般我们获取的都是股票的价格序列而不是收益序列。收益return的计算很简单,就是先用当期价格p除以它滞后一期的价格p(-1),然后取自然对数,即return=ln[p/p(-1)]。

    市场的收益率:教科书一般用标准普尔500指数(S&P500)来近似市场组合。

    超额收益率:超额收益率就是超出无风险利率的那部分收益率。教材上一般以3个月期的国库券的收益率来近似表示无风险收益率。

    β值:一般说总体风险等于系统风险加上非系统风险。在一个分散的投资组合中,非系统风险可以消除掉。β值就是对股票的系统风险的度量,它等于股票和市场之间的协方差除以市场的方差。如果一只股票的β值大于1,说明该股票的系统风险比市场的平均风险大。

    计算β值:用市场的超额收益率回归某只股票的超额收益率(被解释变量:某只股票的超额收益率;解释变量:市场的超额收益率),这个回归方程的系数就是这只股票的β值。

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